Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1115.660228 1272.158435 1448.371594 1662.582747 1917.419321 2212.715113 2583.440698
2025-06-01 881.742851 1083.846401 1334.028568 1670.974036 2119.858036 2707.425911 3551.970512
2025-06-08 753.856444 970.128284 1254.058635 1662.400899 2248.784028 3083.483804 4405.887460
2025-06-15 678.500860 906.535963 1220.834271 1698.691400 2431.095342 3554.795452 5502.877607
2025-06-22 595.608484 818.532471 1137.331882 1643.300076 2459.679132 3790.423024 6277.277351
2025-06-29 531.802463 748.626762 1068.690548 1596.057981 2486.673375 4020.318989 7093.719080
2025-07-06 477.492871 686.039944 1002.343494 1540.706706 2487.103893 4198.927807 7856.648568
2025-07-13 456.033784 670.471457 1005.872231 1598.449407 2690.112369 4783.687258 9621.791200
2025-07-20 429.694177 644.201088 988.636403 1617.130224 2823.575531 5261.732629 11317.501453
2025-07-27 409.050561 624.803493 980.097821 1649.081307 2986.459072 5835.425499 13458.645664
2025-08-03 389.191747 604.665123 967.804452 1671.742354 3133.716818 6409.103776 15838.801158
2025-08-10 376.395185 595.089165 972.571425 1726.886549 3358.063743 7216.692675 19264.792409
2025-08-17 359.037092 577.030945 961.890108 1753.570839 3533.793052 7976.912140 23042.151304
2025-08-24 339.541969 553.712572 939.521392 1754.200033 3652.809234 8633.970252 26912.549462
2025-08-31 321.034538 530.504643 914.846422 1746.212174 3749.314912 9259.174548 31096.359879
2025-09-07 309.662171 519.299834 911.933631 1784.631519 3968.850237 10316.653816 37907.866626
2025-09-14 288.670626 488.598232 867.934376 1725.785451 3926.049664 10554.629960 41210.332955
2025-09-21 270.482800 461.915688 829.717760 1675.599064 3897.898452 10836.383101 45012.795572
2025-09-28 252.988562 435.409288 789.756241 1616.828852 3836.417088 10991.865770 48330.236393
2025-10-05 248.388652 433.409651 799.868177 1678.139191 4127.533343 12502.133069 61243.513083
2025-10-12 240.243365 423.857347 793.289575 1697.981095 4302.382909 13658.237062 73546.852724
2025-10-19 233.823999 417.260673 792.388905 1731.925707 4528.722244 15123.746731 90522.491093
2025-10-26 226.980126 409.320846 787.857017 1756.006440 4730.343601 16587.018588 110350.731639